My thoughts on the Delphi Methodology
The Delphi method is defined as a
structured communication technique, originally developed as a systematic,
interactive forecasting method which relies on a panel of experts. This was the methodology used for the NMC
Horizon Reports. Of this methodology one could possibly say that is can be
viewed a bias opinions because the panel selected are “experts” in the
respective fields. One problem with the
methodology, as with any of this kinds, is does it truly represent the mindset
of the everyday users. These users would the individuals to determine if these
technologies are a success or not. The
experts do extensive research to help identify the proposed trends of the
consumer based population but are all factors really accounted for. In the
report, I do believe that majority of the trends selected will be adopted. My final thoughts see this method is purely
an educated guess based on the research that has been collected, which is
accepted and is ok for a bases on technology adoption.
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